Waves to Weather

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  • Peer-reviewed articles and PhD theses published within the framework of W2W are listed below.
  • Peer-reviewed articles by W2W researchers published before W2W started (i.e. before July 1st, 2015) that are relevant to W2W are listed in "Previous publications" below.
  • Peer-reviewed articles by W2W researchers published during W2W that are relevant to W2W but that are not within the framework of W2W are listed in "Other publications" below.


  • Arnault, J., T. Rummler, F. Baur, S. Lerch, S. Wagner, B. Fersch, Z. Zhang, N. Kerandi, C. Keil, and H. Kunstmann: Precipitation sensitivity to the uncertainty of terrestrial water flow in WRF-Hydro – An ensemble analysis for Central Europe, J. Hydrometeorol., Early Online Release. (Link to online article)
  • Baran, S., and S. Lerch: Combining predictive distributions for the statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts, Int. J. Forecast., 34, 477-496. (Link to online article)
  • Baumgart, M., M. Riemer, V. Wirth, F. Teubler, S. T. K. Lang: Potential-vorticity dynamics of forecast errors: A quantitative case study, Mon. Wea. Rev., early online, DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0196.1. (Link to online article)
  • Craig, G. C., and T. Selz: Mesoscale dynamical regimes in the midlatitudes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, DOI:10.1002/2017GL076174. (Link to online article)
  • Fragkoulidis, G., Wirth, V., Bossmann, P. and Fink, A.H.: Linking Northern Hemisphere temperature extremes to Rossby wave packets, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 144, 553-566, doi:10.1002/qj.3228 (Link to online article)
  • Gentine, P., M. Pritchard, S. Rasp, G. Reinaudi and G. Yacalis, 2018: Could machine learning break the convection parameterization deadlock?, Geophys. Res. Lett. (Link to online article)
  • Knippertz, P., F. Pantillon, and A.H. Fink: The devil in the details of storms, Environ. Res. Lett., 13. (Link to online article)
  • Pantillon, F., Wieser, A., Adler, B., Corsmeier, U., Knippertz, P.: Overview and first results of the Wind and Storms Experiment (WASTEX): a field campaign to observe the formation of gusts using a Doppler lidar. Adv. Sci. Res., 15, 91–97, doi:10.5194/asr-15-91-2018 (Link to online article)
  • Rautenhaus, M., M. Böttinger, S. Siemen, R. Hoffman, R.M. Kirby, M. Mirzargar, N. Röber, and R. Westermann: Visualization in Meteorology - A Survey of Techniques and Tools for Data Analysis Tasks, IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, doi: 10.1109/TVCG.2017.2779501 (Link to online article)
  • Ruckstuhl, Y. and Janjić, T.: Parameter and state estimation with ensemble Kalman filter based algorithms for convective scale applications. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. Accepted Author Manuscript. doi:10.1002/qj.3257 (Link to online article)
  • Schneider, L., C. Barthlott, A.I. Barrett, C. Hoose: The precipitation response to variable terrain forcing over low‐mountain ranges in different weather regimes, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.3250 (Link to online article)
  • Vogel, P., P. Knippertz, A. Fink, A. Schlueter, and T. Gneiting: Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall over Northern Tropical Africa, Wea. Forecasting., 33, 369-388, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0127.1 (Link to online article)
  • Wirth, V., M. Riemer, E. K. M. Chang, O. Martius: Rossby Wave Packets on the Midlatitude Waveguide - A Review, Mon. Wea. Rev., doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0483.1, in press. (Link to online article)


  • Barthlott, C., B. Mühr, and C. Hoose: Sensitivity of the 2014 Pentecost storms over Germany to different model grids and microphysics schemes, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 143, 1485-1503, DOI:10.1002/qj.3019. (Link to online article)
  • Bispen, G., M. Lukacova-Medvidova, L. Yelash: Asymptotic preserving IMEX finite volume schemes for low Mach number Euler equations with gravitation. J. Comp. Phys., 335, 222-248, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2017.01.020.
  • Chertock, A., M. Dudzinski, A. Kurganov, and M. Lukacova-Medvidova: Well-Balanced Schemes for the Shallow Water Equations with Coriolis Forces, Numerische Mathematik, DOI:10.1007/s00211-017-0928-0. (Link to online article)
  • Engel, T., A.H. Fink, P. Knippertz, G. Pante, and Jan Bliefernicht: Extreme precipitation in the West African cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou – atmospheric dynamics and implications for flood risk assessments, J. Hydromet, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0218.1. (Link to online article)
  • Feireisl, E., and M. Lukacova-Medvidova: Convergence of a mixed finite element finite volume scheme for the isentropic Navier-Stokes system via dissipative measure-valued solutions, Found. Comput. Math., 1-28. (Link to online article)
  • Feireisl, E., M. Lukacova-Medvidova, S. Necasova, A. Novotny, and B. She: Asymptotic preserving error estimates for numerical solutions of compressible Navier-Stokes equations in the low Mach number regime, SIAM Multiscale Modeling and Simulation, accepted. (Link to online article)
  • Gustafsson, N., Janjic, T., Schraff, C., Leuenberger, D., Weissman, M., Reich, H., Brousseau, P., Montmerle, T., Wattrelot, E., Bučánek, A., Mile, M., Hamdi, R., Lindskog, M., Barkmeijer, J., Dahlbom, M., Macpherson, B., Ballard, S., Inverarity, G., Carley, J., Alexander, C., Dowell, D., Liu, S., Ikuta, Y. and Fujita, T.: Survey of data assimilation methods for convective-scale numerical weather prediction at operational centres. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc. doi:10.1002/qj.3179 (Link to online article)
  • Janjić, T., Bormann, N., Bocquet, M., Carton, J. A., Cohn, S. E., Dance, S. L., Losa, S. N., Nichols, N. K., Potthast, R., Waller, J. A. and Weston, P.: On the representation error in data assimilation. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. Accepted Author Manuscript. doi:10.1002/qj.3130 (Link to online article)
  • Kerandi, N., J. Arnault, P. Laux, S. Wagner, J. Kitheka, and H. Kunstmann: Joint atmospheric-terrestrial water balances for East Africa: A WRF-Hydro case study for the upper Tana River basin, Theor. Appl. Climatol., doi. 10.1007/s00704-017-2050-8. (Link to online article)
  • Kern, M., T. Hewson, F. Sadlo, R. Westermann and M. Rautenhaus: Robust detection and visualization of jet-stream core lines in atmospheric flow,  IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, doi: 10.1109/TVCG.2017.2743989. (Link to online article)
  • Klinger, C., B. Mayer, F. Jakub, T. Zinner, S.-B. Park, and P. Gentine: Effects of 3-D thermal radiation on the development of a shallow cumulus cloud field, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 5477-5500, doi: 10.5194/acp-17-5477-2017 (link to online article)
  • Knippertz P., A.H. Fink, A. Deroubaix, E. Morris, F. Tocquer, M.J. Evans, C. Flamant, M. Gaetani, C. Lavaysse, C. Mari, J.H. Marsham, R. Meynadier, A. Affo-Dogo, T. Bahaga, F. Brosse, K. Deetz, R. Guebsi, I. Latifou, M. Maranan, P.D. Rosenberg, and A. Schlüter: A meteorological and chemical overview of the DACCIWA field campaign in West Africa in June–July 2016, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 10893-10918. (Link to the online article)
  • Kumpf, A., B. Tost, M. Baumgart, M. Riemer, R. Westermann, and M. Rautenhaus: Visualizing confidence in cluster-based ensemble weather forecast analyses, IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, doi: 10.1109/TVCG.2017.2745178. (Link to online article)
  • Lukacova-Medvidova, M., J. Rosemeier, P. Spichtinger, and B. Wiebe: IMEX finite volume methods for cloud simulation, in: Clement Cances, Pascal Omnes (eds.) Finite Volumes for Complex Applications VIII - Hyperbolic, Elliptic and Parabolic Problems, pp. 179-187. (Link to online chapter)
  • Maier-Gerber, M., F. Pantillon, E. di Muzio, M. Riemer, A. H. Fink, and P. Knippertz: Birth of the Biscane, Weather, 72 (8), 236-241, doi:10.1002/wea.2995. (Link to the online article)
  • Pantillon, F., P. Knippertz, and U. Corsmeier: Revisiting the synoptic-scale predictability of severe European winter storms using ECMWF ensemble reforecasts, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., doi:10.5194/nhess-2017-122 (link to online article)
  • Rasp, S., Selz, T., and Craig, G.C.: Variability and clustering of mid-latitude summertime convection: Testing the Craig and Cohen (2006) theory in a convection-permitting ensemble with stochastic boundary layer perturbations, J. Atmos. Sci. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0258.1 (Link to online article)
  • Selz, T., L. Fischer, and G. C. Craig: Structure function analysis of water vapor simulated with a convection-permitting model and comparison to airborne lidar observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1201-1210, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-16-0160.1.
  • Spreitzer, E.J., Marschalik, M.P., and Spichtinger, P.: Subvisible cirrus clouds – a dynamical system approach. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 24, 307-328, DOI:10.5194/npg-24-307-2017. (Link to online article)
  • van der Linden, R., A. Fink, J. Pinto, and T. Phan-Van: The Dynamics of an Extreme Precipitation Event in Northeastern Vietnam in 2015 and its Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System, Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1041-1056, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-16-0142.1.
  • Volkert, H.: Putting faces to names: Snapshots of two committee meetings, 95 years apart, emphasize continuous international cooperation in the atmospheric sciences, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 34, 571-576, doi:10.1007/s00376-017-6329-6. (Link to online article)
  • Wolf, G., and V. Wirth: Diagnosing the horizontal propagation of Rossby wave packets along the midlatitude waveguide, Mon. Wea. Rev., doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0355.1, in press. (Link to online article)
  • Zheng, Y., T. Janjic, Y. Ruckstuhl, and M. Verlaan: Ensemble-Type Kalman Filter Algorithm conserving Mass, Total Energy and Enstrophy, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. Accepted Author Manuscript. doi:10.1002/qj.3142 (Link to online article)


  • Kober, K., and G. C. Craig: Physically-based stochastic perturbations (PSP) in the boundary layer to represent uncertainty in convective initiation. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 2893-2911, DOI:10.1175/JAS-D-15-0144.1. (Link to online article)
  • Lerch, S., and S. Baran: Similarity-based semilocal estimation of post-processing models. J. Roy. Statist. Soc., Ser. C (Applied Statistics), 66(1), 29–51, DOI: 10.1111/rssc.12153. (Link to online article)
  • Rasp, S., T. Selz, and G.C. Craig: Convective and slantwise trajectory ascent in convection-permitting simulations of mid-latitude cyclones. Month. Wea. Rev., 144, 3961-3976, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0112.1
  • Sagrista, A., S. Jordan, A. Just, F. Dias, L.G. Nonato, and F. Sadlo: Topological Analysis of Inertial Dynamics. IEEE Transactions on Visualization & Computer Graphics, doi:10.1109/TVCG.2016.2599018.
  • Volkert, H.: Aerological data spurred dynamical meteorology: Richard Scherhag's contribution of 1934 as an early milestone. Meteorol. Z., 25, 521-526, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0784. (Link to online article)

PhD theses - 2016

  • Lerch, S.: Probabilistic forecasting and comparative model assessment, with focus on extreme events. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology. (Link to online document)